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Compared with the recovery from the recession of 1981-82,the recovery from the recession of 2008-09 was characterized by


A) more rapid growth of real GDP.
B) a more rapid decline in the rate of unemployment.
C) larger increases in both government spending and budget deficits as a share of GDP.
D) higher interest rates and a more restrictive monetary policy.

E) A) and C)
F) None of the above

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The modern view of the Phillips curve indicates that expansionary macroeconomic policy


A) will reduce the unemployment rate if policy makers are willing to accept the required rate of inflation.
B) will reduce the unemployment rate only when people underestimate the inflationary effects of the expansionary policy.
C) will reduce the unemployment rate only when people overestimate the inflationary effects of the expansionary policy.
D) will reduce the unemployment rate if people accurately anticipate the inflationary effects of the expansionary policy.

E) B) and C)
F) All of the above

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Explain two reasons why economic forecasting can only be of limited use.

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One reason is that changes in market con...

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In the twentieth century,fluctuations in real GDP were


A) less severe during the last 50 years than was true during the first half of the century.
B) virtually eliminated as the result of the countercyclical application of fiscal policy.
C) more severe during the last 50 years than was true during the first half of the century.
D) primarily the result of a fiscal policy that has persistently balanced the federal budget.

E) B) and C)
F) A) and D)

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The time period between when economic conditions change and when policy makers are aware of the change is called the


A) index of leading indicators.
B) administrative lag.
C) recognition lag.
D) impact lag.

E) A) and D)
F) B) and C)

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The 25 years prior to the crisis of 2008-2009 were


A) characterized by more instability than the first 50 years of the twentieth century.
B) the most stable economic quarter of a century in American history.
C) characterized by more monetary and price instability than any era other than the 1970s.
D) a period of historically slow growth and high unemployment.

E) A) and C)
F) B) and D)

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What is the Phillips curve? What is the difference between the original Phillips curve and the "modern" view of the Phillips curve? What problems caused the abandonment of the ideas behind the original Phillips curve?

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The Phillips curve is a graph showing th...

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An unanticipated shift to a more expansionary monetary policy that permanently increases the rate of inflation from 2 to 6 percent will


A) reduce unemployment in the short run,but unemployment will return to the natural rate in the long run.
B) reduce unemployment in the short run,but unemployment will exceed the natural rate in the long run.
C) increase unemployment in the short run,but unemployment will return to the natural rate in the long run.
D) exert an unpredictable impact on unemployment in the short run,but unemployment will return to the natural rate in the long run.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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Under which of the following conditions will the actual rate of unemployment tend to rise above the natural rate of unemployment?


A) Prices are stable and have been for the last four years.
B) Inflation is 3 percent and was widely anticipated more than a year ago.
C) Expansionary monetary policies lead to an unexpected increase in inflation from 3 percent to 7 percent.
D) Restrictive monetary policies lead to an unexpected reduction in inflation from 6 percent to 2 percent.

E) B) and D)
F) A) and D)

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Economists who believe that market economies are inherently unstable argue that the crisis of 2008 was primarily the result of


A) the expansionary policies of the Fed that caused the housing boom.
B) housing regulations that undermined sound lending practices.
C) the leveraged lending practices of banks and the fear that retarded both consumption and investment in the latter half of 2008.
D) persistently high interest rates during the decade leading up to the crisis.

E) C) and D)
F) All of the above

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According to the adaptive expectations hypothesis,


A) people will adapt to whatever income they are earning.
B) the more people save,the less total savings will be available to the economy.
C) the anticipated rate of inflation is based on the actual rates of inflation experienced during the recent past.
D) the expected rate of inflation is adapted to macropolicy changes.

E) C) and D)
F) A) and B)

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What are the two theories about how expectations are formed? Discuss each.

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The two theories are adaptive and ration...

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According to the rational expectations theory,expansionary monetary policy will


A) reduce inflation.
B) lead to inflation and the higher rate of inflation will be quickly anticipated.
C) reduce unemployment because people will generally underestimate the inflationary side effects of the monetary expansion.
D) accelerate inflation in the short run,but in the long run the primary effect will be an increase in employment.

E) C) and D)
F) A) and D)

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According to the theory of rational expectations,the government can influence output


A) with appropriate fiscal and monetary policy.
B) in the short run,but not in the long run.
C) without affecting the price level.
D) only by making unexpected changes that impact aggregate demand.

E) None of the above
F) A) and B)

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Compared to the severe recession of 1981-1982,the growth of real GDP during the first two years of recovery from the 2008-2009 recession was


A) much more rapid and the unemployment rate fell by a smaller amount after the more recent recession.
B) slower and the unemployment rate fell by a smaller amount after the more recent recession.
C) more rapid but the unemployment rate fell by a smaller amount after the more recent recession.
D) similar and the decline in the rate of unemployment was almost identical during the recovery from each of these recessions.

E) None of the above
F) A) and B)

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Suppose that during the last five years the rate of inflation was 3 percent each year and the money supply had grown 6 percent annually during the period.However,during the last nine months,the Fed has expanded bank reserves more rapidly and the money supply has been growing at a 12 percent annual rate.As a result,the expected inflation rate for the next period will be


A) higher than 3 percent under the rational expectations hypothesis.
B) 3 percent under the adaptive expectations hypothesis.
C) higher than 3 percent under both the adaptive and rational expectations hypotheses.
D) both a and b.

E) B) and D)
F) B) and C)

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An individual who had rational expectations would be most likely to


A) ignore information about all current policies of both the government and the Fed.
B) always disagree with the expectations of someone who believed in adaptive expectations.
C) use all pertinent information when formulating views about the future.
D) never anticipate stable prices because monetary authorities continually expand the supply of money rapidly.

E) A) and C)
F) B) and D)

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