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Figure 1. Figure 1.    -Referring to Figure 1, the amplitude in the early 1970s was about: A) 2 B) 7.5 C) 9.5 D) 2 years E) 4 years -Referring to Figure 1, the amplitude in the early 1970s was about:


A) 2
B) 7.5
C) 9.5
D) 2 years
E) 4 years

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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Which of the following best apply to when a peak occurs in a business cycle?


A) Inflation is falling.
B) Unemployment is at its lowest.
C) GDP growth is at its highest in the business cycle.
D) Interest rates are low.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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A technical definition gives a recession occurring after six successive months of negative economic growth.

A) True
B) False

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Comment of the nature of economic fluctuations in terms of their predictability.

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Economic fluctuations are irregular and unpredictable, as you can see by looking at a graph of real GDP over time.Some recessions are close together and others are far apart.There appears to be no recurring pattern.

What is meant by a leading indicator? Comment on the OECD data below showing an index of composite indicators for the OECD area. What is meant by a leading indicator? Comment on the OECD data below showing an index of composite indicators for the OECD area.

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A leading indicator is one which can be ...

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Procyclical is a variable that is above trend when GDP is above trend.

A) True
B) False

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If you and your friends are still looking for a job eighteen months after graduation, even after lowering your wage expectations, you are probably in the _________ phase of the business cycle.


A) recession
B) peak
C) boom
D) recovery

E) A) and C)
F) B) and D)

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A

What is meant by co-movement, and what are the relationships between key variables and GDP?

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Co-movement is the movement of pairs of ...

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Name two macroeconomic variables that decline when the economy goes into a recession.Name one macroeconomic variable that rises during a recession.

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Two macroeconomic variables that decline...

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Deterministic trends are


A) where variables change by some random amount in each time period.
B) always constant and dependent of time for the series being analyzed.
C) constant, positive or negative independent of time for the series being analyzed.
D) always positive.

E) A) and C)
F) All of the above

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Over the last 50 years, SA real GDP has grown at about 5 per cent per year.

A) True
B) False

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False

According to the new classical model, what effects will a rise in aggregate demand have on a county's GDP?

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Aggregate demand is composed of consumpt...

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In the real business cycle,


A) employment, labour productivity and real wages are procyclical.
B) employment, labour productivity and real wages are countercyclical.
C) employment, inflation are procyclical, but real wages are countercyclical.
D) unemployment, labour productivity and real wages are procyclical.

E) None of the above
F) B) and C)

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Marietjie maintains that she can predict when the economy is going to move up or down in a business cycle.In fact,


A) most economists can predict the business cycle.
B) the business cycle is quite regular, with a new phase beginning every 24 months.
C) business cycles are irregular and unpredictable in the short run.
D) only the World Bank can predict moves in the business cycle.

E) None of the above
F) All of the above

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Which would cause SA firms to think about cutting back production?


A) A fall in real wages.
B) Improvement in the South African economy.
C) Build-up of stock levels.
D) Ease of credit controls.

E) A) and B)
F) A) and C)

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Figure 1. Figure 1.    -Referring to Figure 1 there was a period of economic growth between which years? A) 1991 to 1994 B) 1991 to just beyond 2007 C) 1992 to 1994 D) 1992 to just beyond 2007 -Referring to Figure 1 there was a period of economic growth between which years?


A) 1991 to 1994
B) 1991 to just beyond 2007
C) 1992 to 1994
D) 1992 to just beyond 2007

E) C) and D)
F) B) and C)

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Economists refer to fluctuations in output as the "business cycle" because movements in output are irregular and unpredictable.

A) True
B) False

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Use the information in table below to calculate the mean growth rate.  Time series data collected over 30 years  Highest Peak 7% Next Trough 2% Number of peaks and troughs 4 Sum of annual growth rates 75 Sum of annual positive growth rates 90\begin{array}{|l|l|}\hline \text { Time series data collected over } & 30 \text { years } \\\hline \text { Highest Peak } & 7 \% \\\hline \text { Next Trough } & -2 \% \\\hline \text { Number of peaks and troughs } & 4 \\\hline \text { Sum of annual growth rates } & 75 \\\hline \text { Sum of annual positive growth rates } & 90 \\\hline\end{array}


A) 2.5%
B) 3%
C) 5
D) 9

E) C) and D)
F) A) and D)

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What are the main causes of changes in the business cycle?

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The behaviour and decision making of fir...

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Recessions do not last forever because


A) workers get tired of being unemployed.
B) firms eventually have incentives to increase employment and produce more output.
C) government steps in and boosts spending back to long-run levels.
D) central banks have control over the money supply.

E) B) and C)
F) A) and B)

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